Honda Classic odds 2018: Picks from same model that nailed Alex Noren’s run

The PGA Tour is heading to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, on Thursday for the 2018 Honda Classic. Defending champion Rickie Fowler is the Vegas favorite at 8/1, followed closely by Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy at 10/1.

Before you make any bets or enter a daily fantasy golf tournament on DraftKings or FanDuel, you’ll want to hear what the team at SportsLine has to say.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, was all over Alex Noren at the Farmers Insurance Open last month. Despite being a 60/1 long shot, the model projected him to be a top contender. The result: Noren shot 70 or better in three of his four rounds and finished tied for second after a playoff. Anybody who used their model had plenty of great value selections to choose from.

Now that the field for the Honda Classic 2018 is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

One huge surprise the model is calling for at the Honda Classic this year: Kevin Kisner, a 50/1 long shot, makes a serious run at the title. He’s a target for anybody looking for a huge payday.

Kisner is coming off a disappointing performance at the Genesis Open that saw him miss the cut for the first time this year. However, he has been hot this season with a top-five finish at the RSM Classic and a pair of top-12 finishes at the Hero World Challenge and QBE Shootout — both unofficial PGA Tour events.

Another curveball: Adam Scott, the 2016 Honda Classic champion, doesn’t sniff the top 15. He’s somebody to completely steer clear of this week.

Also, four additional players with odds longer than 25/1 are positioning themselves to make a serious run at the title. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could hit it big.

So who wins the 2018 Honda Classic? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the updated odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard from the model that predicted Alex Noren’s deep run at the Farmers Insurance Open, and find out.

Rickie Fowler 8/1
Justin Thomas 10/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Sergio Garcia 16/1
Tyrrell Hatton 25/1
Gary Woodland 28/1
Tommy Fleetwood 28/1
Alex Noren 30/1
Brian Harman 35/1
Patrick Reed 40/1
Russell Knox 40/1
Adam Scott 50/1
Brandt Snedeker 50/1
Kevin Kisner 50/1
Chesson Hadley 50/1
Jason Dufner 50/1
Daniel Berger 50/1
Patton Kizzire 50/1
Webb Simpson 50/1
Byeong Hun An 50/1